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Data center Redfin said 970 new homes were listed for sale in San Diego County from May 24 to June 20. While small compared to most metros, it’s roughly double the 450 to 500 new listings a month that San Diego County was adding at the beginning of the year.
Why increase inventory? Real estate agents say that now that people are fully vaccinated against Covid-19, sellers feel comfortable leaving homes and putting them on the market. In addition, the significant increase in prices will force some sellers to finally pull the trigger.
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However, it may be difficult for a desperate home buyer to notice a big difference. Redfin said 71.2 percent of homes in San Diego County are off the market in two weeks or less.
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Taylor Marr, chief economist at Redfin, said pending sales in San Diego County have been above year-over-year levels for several months, indicating plenty of activity, even though a casual industry watcher might not see a big move in the stock.
“The picture is emerging that the additional supply coming into the San Diego market has really allowed buyers to make more offers,” he said. But we haven’t seen similar houses in the long term market.
If you look at the total number of homes for sale in San Diego County, it’s still at an all-time low. From May 24 to June 20, there were 3,990 homes for sale. That’s even lower than in 2020, when stay-at-home orders were around 6,260 at the same time. Also mentioned for 2019 with 8561 houses; 2018 with 8064 and 7185 in 2017.
So while there have been more new listings in recent weeks, they’ve sold so quickly that the stock totals haven’t had a chance to grow. For example, at this time last year, about half of homes sold in two weeks or less (compared to more than 70% today). That means a home that went on the market in May could still be there in June or July — when there’s no longer a backlog of supply because new listings are being picked up so quickly.
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Redfin economists and most housing analysts predict that an increase in the number of homes for sale will slow price growth because there will be less need for bidding wars between buyers. DQNews said the median home price in San Diego County hit a record $725,000 in May, up 23 percent from last year.
Evan Morris, a Golden Hill-based real estate agent, said he recently received three new listings from sellers who wanted to take advantage of the big price gains. He said he did an analysis for all sellers last year to show how much they could earn if they sold (taking into account things like capital gains tax and the sale price), but the benefits at the time were not enough to motivate them. was not
Now, Morris said, one of the sellers is looking to use the profits from the condo to make a down payment on a single-family home, and the other two are investors who used the properties as rentals but now want to liquidate.
Most housing analysts predict that home inventory across the country will continue to rise as the economy opens up more and more from COVID-19 restrictions. Zillow Research expects home sales in 2021 to exceed the number of sales in 2020, but recently revised its forecast from earlier this year due to continued low inventory. It now forecasts 5.91 million home sales this year, down from a previous estimate of 6.2 million.
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The San Diego metro area (which includes all of San Diego County) is in the middle of the pack with 970 new listings compared to similarly sized metros. Dallas added 1,796 new enrollments during the same period, while San Jose added 465.
Part of the reason Texas metros are outperforming California markets is a stronger homebuilding industry. A study by Realtor.com predicted that Dallas will have the most housing construction of any U.S. metro in 2021, based on an analysis of building permits. Other major cities were New York, Phoenix, Washington DC and Atlanta. sale
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There Are More Homes For Sale In San Diego In Recent Weeks. Here’s Why It’s Hard To Notice
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